Vocera – It’s Worse Than We Thought, Fake Tech Company Faces Impending Smackdown

Highlights
  • VCRA operating losses continue to add up, over $113 million thus far, this report details why losses will continue
  • VCRA’s device is unloved (perhaps hated) according to widespread and recent user commentary; Piper Jaffray analyst confirms 20% customer churn
  • Recent industry developments suggest VCRA’s competitive position is far weaker than we thought; new competitors include Salesforce, Microsoft, Dell and Verizon
  • New diligence we have conducted illustrates that the key bull case surrounding backlog appears grossly flawed – backlog growth does not lead to revenue growth
  • VCRA has yet to respond to eleven of our initial fundamental claims; our new diligence provides additional conviction that each of our claims are correct
  • VCRA management faces conundrum: they are damned if they do, damned if they don’t - attempt to out-innovate tech behemoths or maintain status quo, VCRA loses either way
  • Price target: near-term $4.50 (short-term cash, 60%+ downside), long term target: $0
  • We previously reported evidence of an alleged accounting fraud at VCRA. Subsequent to the release of this report we will be releasing additional documentation related to this topic

June 17, 2016

 

I. Introduction & Expanded Thesis

 

In our initial report on April 5, 2016 (the "Initial Report"), we provided substantial evidence to support our initial fundamental claims about VCRA and its management team. An analyst response to the Initial Report was published on April 6, 2016, yet it is noted that they avoided responding to any core fundamental arguments. We review these initial fundamental claims in Section IX of this report.

 

Each piece of incremental due diligence we have obtained subsequent to our Initial Report both corroborates and increases our conviction that Vocera has over 60% near-term downside (long-term price target of $0). VCRA's technology and competitive position is far worse than we thought. User complaints about VCRA's device continue to this day. These are some of the many reasons VCRA continues to report losses each and every quarter. We believe VCRA's losses will continue. The rest of the report will outline why.

 

In Section III, our new diligence outlines why VCRA has struggled to generate profits. VCRA relies on non-proprietary off-the-shelf components to a far larger degree than any of its competitors. This system is a loosely-engineered mix of inputs are reminiscent of computer network design from the 1990s. In other words, it is akin to selling VHS in a world that has Blue Ray DVDs. VCRA has a limited ability to control costs as it is merely an assembler that adds minimal value to its end product. This explains why margin has been so difficult to come by - and why VCRA's competitive position is so weak.

 

Our incremental diligence on competition emerging in the space uncovered three critical details:

 

1) VCRA is now facing off against at least three global technology companies that all offer modern cloud-based products. In a tech world where cloud is all the buzz, VCRA is nowhere to be found;

 

2) VCRA's competitors are financing the installation of communication systems - a feature not provided by VCRA. Financing packages such as those provided by VCRA's competitor Dell make it difficult for VCRA to close sales to cash-strapped hospitals; and

 

3) The competitive threat of low-cost or leased LTE/cellular hotspots is now real. We provide evidence Verizon has expanded its efforts to develop business in hospitals.

 

We see a damned if they do and damned if they don't conundrum here. VCRA needs to out-innovate its competition or it will die as it is unlikely to generate profits with its current uncompetitive product design. If VCRA does try to out-innovate the global technology behemoths they are up against, they have little chance of success given their limited track record of innovation. Meanwhile their operating losses and cash flows will only get worse as innovation spending increases. Conversely, if VCRA does not invest heavily and quickly to drive innovation, then growth will be nonexistent as the market learns of better products, customer churn will increase, and operating losses will only increase.

 

Research and development expense has been flat over the past year. Management's fat salaries and ongoing insider stock sales appear to be enough motivation for them to choose the status quo (with no incremental spend associated with innovation).

 

Mike Hutchinson (Former VP Finance of VCRA) previously stated that the company was going to "fall off a cliff." Considering the numerous new competitive threats VCRA is facing, its uncompetitive product offering, and VCRA's questionable backlog figures, we believe VCRA sales are at risk yet again and could easily "fall off a cliff" (remember - these are not our words).

 

 

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Source

 

II. Our track record speaks for itself

 

We take great pride in the quality of our work and in-depth research while reviewing both the bull and bear case.

 

III. VCRA can't generate profits with an outdated, uncompetitive system reminiscent of a computer network design from the 1990's

 

We believe we now know why VCRA continues to report losses even after 15 years of operations. Our original diligence suggested that Vocera's B3000/B3000n badge is unloved and outmatched in every way that matters (i.e. 5 years since major product revisions, has no touch screen, smaller screen size, doesn't work on cellular networks, is the costliest device etc.) - our incremental diligence corroborates this claim. Management's promotional commentary of late have caused us to take a deeper dive into Vocera's communications system.

VCRA's claims that it "offers the most robust clinical communications system in healthcare" and is "well-positioned to meet this demand" - we believe both of these statements about VCRA's system are misleading.

 

The Telecom Expert (an industry expert who chose to be anonymous) stated: "VCRA's product is a loosely engineered patchwork of components VCRA didn't fully design and manufacture themselves." VCRA's loosely-engineered system is built with numerous non-proprietary components. This patchwork design is similar, in our view, to patching a car's exhaust system with a Pringles can - as seen below.

 

 

VCRA confirmed the use of these off-the-shelf components in its recent Form SD filing at www.sec.gov.

 

Figure 1: The following chart depicts the numerous non-proprietary off-the-shelf components VCRA uses to 'build' and 'operate' its product (see Exhibit 1 for additional details). The use of these non-proprietary components as inputs for VCRA products results in lower margins as suppliers charge fair value for key inputs. All of this inefficiency, not to mention the basic lack of a cloud product, results in an obvious inability to compete within the market. VCRA's path to profitability appears impossible given these facts.

 

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Sources: See references in Exhibit 1

 

Figure 2: Meanwhile, below we depict the components VCRA's 'legacy' competitors (meaning non-cloud) utilize for their products - it is clear that these competitors use less non-proprietary components resulting in more margin held in-house. As a result of their commitment to designing and manufacturing their own products, these companies have a much greater chance at generating profits and/or offering discounts to customers in order to win new business.

 

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Sources: See references in Exhibit 1

 

Figure 3: Cloud is the future. Healthcare, although it requires enhanced privacy measures, will follow suit, and utilize cloud applications provided by the competitors below, among others. VCRA has an uphill battle bringing an on-premise product to a gun fight against global tech behemoths (i.e. Salesforce, Microsoft, Dell) who offer modern cloud-based products, are world-renowned innovators, are better capitalized, and are capable and committed to spending far more on research and development.

 

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Sources: See references in Exhibit 1 and the Initial Report

 

Figures 1-3 above illustrate that VCRA has 11 non-proprietary components as compared to the cloud competitors who use 3 non-proprietary components. VCRA uses over twice as many non-proprietary components as its other competitors. VCRA is at a basic competitive disadvantage as a result of its dependence on its many suppliers when its competitors have a more streamlined supply chain. As VCRA relies on so many supplier inputs, it has maintained losses for years due to its lack of control over costs. So what has changed or what can change that will improve VCRA's chances in this market? VCRA's one chance is to out-innovate the competition. However, we deem their chances of success to be very low - especially as they haven't truly innovated in years. VCRA's sales have been essentially flat over the last three years and look worse once you consider backlog - we elaborate on this in section VIII.

 

IV. VCRA's device is unloved, perhaps hated - new reviews are the most critical we have seen supporting our initial view

 

In our Initial Report we speculated that at least 20% of VCRA customers have decided to replace their VCRA system - this was quickly verified by the Piper Jaffray analyst in response to our Initial Report. The Piper Jaffray analyst also said "Many of these hospitals did shut off the Vocera system." Let us not forget that on average, according to VCRA, each customer that walks away is forgoing $300k in sunk costs to replace VCRA's system - this is likely done after considerable thought, especially as hospitals are often cash-strapped with tight budgets. This should be alarming to investors. It is difficult to imagine spending such a substantial amount of capital only to be let down by VCRA's product, and give up on it.

 

The following comments and visuals were found using Instagram and the #vocera hashtag on May 27, 2016. All of these posts are relatively recent. These posts serve as one entertaining version as to why Vocera's product is unloved.

 

Key posts:

 

§ Nmfashionmogul: "I passionate hate continues with Vocera #ICUnurse #overit #inthetrash #vocera"

 

§ Fitmama58: "we don't use those, thank god!!"

 

§ Haleynfish: "I hate voceras!"

 

§ Thiemester85: "@haleynfish they're the worst. I always either say I won't accept the call or answer it accidentally and then hang up on people. My bad…"

 

§ Nunubug98: "Wednesday Work Selfie with my new work gadget Vocera. I hat this thing. Lololololol #vocera#workgadget#Wednesdayselfie#...."

 

§ Jaymejade1: "log. Out." "I'm sorry, I didn't understand." "Log. Out." "I'm sorry, did you mean to call"…#vocera

 

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V. VCRA faces fresh competition from recent entrants to the space: Salesforce, Microsoft, Dell, and Verizon

 

VCRA faces an impending smack down courtesy of Salesforce, Microsoft, Dell, Verizon - all of whom have entered the unified communications ("UC") space and have healthcare-oriented products. Additional known competitors are also included within this discussion below.

 

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Below, we provide evidence of Salesforce, Microsoft, and Dell (i.e. the global technology leaders) entering VCRA's sector.

 

Salesforce - September 2, 2015: Salesforce jumps into healthcare with a tailored cloud platform…cloud platform tailored specifically for healthcare providers and patient data. The new platform offers a complete, integrated view of patient demographic, lifestyle and health information, including conditions and medications, scheduled appointments and lab results. Data is populated from multiple sources, including electronic records, medical devices and wearables, and it's available across devicesThe software is slated for general availability in February 2016. Source

 

VCRA's claims that it "offers the most robust clinical communications system in healthcare." We question this statement and provide evidence of just one competitor's offering below to display the fact that VCRA may offer some functionality with its product but it is clearly not alone in this regard. In fact, we have yet to see one instance where VCRA compares its product to its competitors and explains why it is better. VCRA's competitive position is what matters to investors yet VCRA only ever explains what it can do - and consistently refrains from explaining what its competitors can do. This is a clear sign that VCRA has no competitive advantage and that its competitors likely do.

 

The commentary below is supported by documentation provided in Exhibit 3 to this report.

 

1. Salesforce's new Health Cloud product offers a wide range of functionality - which is something VCRA claims it also provides. We question who provides the most functionality and most robust, modern product? We're quite convinced the answer to this question is not VCRA. We suggest all investors watch the overview/demonstration of this product.

 

2. Salesforce provides a modern user interface available on all types of devices, integrated with hospital systems maintaining patient data.

 

3. Salesforce is unsurprisingly partnered with well-respected technology companies. Who is VCRA partnered with? VCRA has alluded to a partnership with Apple in a few random instances. We believe that is a total farce.

 

4. User reviews of Salesforce's Health Cloud product are promising. We suggest comparing these reviews, included in Exhibit 3, with the VCRA user commentary we provided previously in this report and the Initial Report.

 

Microsoft - April 26, 2016: "We chose Lync (now Skype for Business), due to a number of possibilities and the reliability offered by this solution, which was very important to us…the technology used provides access to information that is crucial for medical consultations… Microsoft technology has also helped to organize the work in the center…the integration of Lync/Skype for Business with mail and calendar makes it easier to arrange appointments and medical consultations…a great benefit of teleconsultations is the ability to transfer the results of imaging examinations, in particular the ECG or Ultrasound and, in the near future, coronarography and other types of exams that make use of x-rays…with the mobile version of Lync/Skype for Business, our doctors can receive or initiate calls with external parties, no matter where the doctors are located in the center. The advantage of Microsoft technology is that this environment is well-known to users and it easily integrates with the existing IT environment." Source

 

Our additional research uncovered specific functionality offered by Microsoft that directly competes with VCRA's purported mobile communications product. This link will download Microsoft's Powerpoint Presentation entitled 'Skype for Business in Healthcare'. This document clearly visualizes the extent of Microsoft's commitment to this sector and the significant functionality offered by Skype for Business in a hospital setting.

 

"We have improved how staff members communicate with one another by consolidating messaging streams and providing instant messaging, presence, and data communications. …Now all staff can communicate quickly no matter where they are." Source

 

Dell - February 1, 2016: CarePoint Health, which operates three hospitals and more than 55 medical practices in Hudson County, New Jersey, has deployed Dell technology to provide medical staff with a highly available, reliable solution that enables them to stay focused on patient care. "In the past, we used to chase technology issues and provide patches, but we could not provide real value to the business." CarePoint is deploying the Dell Cloud Clinical Archive to provide complete access to medical imaging data from the secure cloud whenever or wherever it's needed. Source

 

Our additional research uncovered specific functionality offered by Dell that directly competes with VCRA's purported mobile communications product.

 

The Dell Secure Healthcare Cloud features: Support for secured mobile devices to enable clinician mobility. Source

 

VCRA's management team and their pre-cloud system design cannot complete with global technologies companies that innovate in-house and have massive capital at their disposal.

 

VI. Dell and others are offering customers financing options which makes Vocera's product not only the most expensive, but the most difficult to attain - especially for cash-strapped and budget conscientious hospitals

 

On February 1, 2016, Dell announced: "CarePoint Health also worked with Dell Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) to finance the entire solution. The ability to finance the solution enabled the healthcare provider to make its technology vision a reality." Source

 

Simply put, when a potential customer has the opportunity to choose between two competing products, yet one product is offered with financing at reasonable terms, and the other is not, assuming all else is at least equal, a cash-strapped customer is going to choose the product that comes with financing - assuming the terms are fair. Dell, and other large well-capitalized players in VCRA's sector, will always beat out VCRA, in our view. Though we doubt VCRA can even make it anywhere near the finish line if Dell or other similar competitors are known to the customer.

 

VII. Verizon, other telecommunications carriers, threaten VCRA's business model and a significant portion of VCRA's revenue

 

Any hospital that is an attractive customer for VCRA will also be attractive to Verizon and other global or national wireless telecommunications providers. Whereas VCRA relies on hefty up-front payments from new customers to install and 'tune' WiFi routers in a hospital setting, Verizon and others offer leased LTE cellular 'hot-spot' devices commonly referred to as "small cells." The threat to VCRA in this context is that Verizon small cells work just as well, if not better, than WiFi, and Verizon generally retains ownership of the small cell devices rather than demanding large up-front costs be paid by its customers. Again, this comes down to whether or not a hospital's personnel are knowledgeable of the various options available to them in the marketplace or not. If they are aware of the availability of small cells, which cost $10,000 to $20,000 each, while VCRA's average installation cost is in excess $300,000+, they are unlikely to sign on with VCRA.

 

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Source

 

In the recent past, network and internet connectivity took a giant leap when WiFi replaced the need to 'plug in'. We believe this next evolution, whereby the national telecommunication carriers lease their cellular hotspots en masse, will have enormous competitive advantages over WiFi, and will quickly displace WiFi solutions. This is important as a major component of VCRA's revenue is professional services - which management describes as "installation and maintenance of network connectivity." Right now, VCRA and its employees are pitching a system that is built to work on WiFi and the technical expertise of their internal team. We don't see them faring too well against cellular LTE connectivity hardware pitched by Verizon's technical teams. This revenue stream represented approximately 10% of VCRA's total revenues for 2015. It is going away. We see no rational argument that explains how VCRA can compete with Verizon in this context.

 

VIII. Strong backlog growth, an often touted piece of the bull case, does not lead to strong revenue growth

 

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Sources: Q4 2015 Results Press Release, Q4 2014 Results Press Release, Q4 2013 Results Press Release, Vocera Communications Securities Litigation Suit, 2015 10-K, 2012 10-K

 

The last time VCRA reported significant revenue growth was in 2012 (27% growth) and at this time, backlog was down 29%. Since 2012, the inverse has taken place whereby backlog has been growing substantially each year, i.e. 53%, 36%, 76%, while revenues have remained essentially flat. However, management (and analysts that buy in) promotes backlog as the crux to the bull case on the stock - the funny thing is that there is no evidence to suggest that increasing backlog results in increasing revenues - our view is that the inverse appears true for VCRA. We find it difficult to understand how a growing backlog figure is positive - because surely as revenues are flat, with a growing backlog, that means that backlog is barely converting to closed sales - which then begs the question, why isn't it? We speculate either a) customer churn is higher than we think it is, b) the definition of backlog is very loose (making backlog a metric used solely to hype investors about VCRA's stock).

 

What is amazing to us is that Mr. Lang is currently being sued in relation to this topic right now but he continues to suggest growth in backlog is critical for VCRA. Below is commentary from an analyst about the suggestion that VCRA's backlog was not nearly as helpful in predicting near term results as they had been led to believe.

 

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Source

 

Investors should be aware that Mr. Lang's hype of VCRA's backlog ended up costing shareholders dearly just a few years ago - as seen in the image above where VCRA's stock dropped 37%. Backlog does not provide the visibility Mr. Lang suggests. It's a bit shocking to us that Mr. Lang's message has not wavered, even after the massive losses shareholders for shareholders over the years.

 

What we think about VCRA's backlog:

 

1. VCRA's 'backlog' is an unaudited figure allowing management to massage the figure any way they see fit without facing inquiry. Given the lack of oversight on this metric and Mr. Lang's history (accused of direct involvement in a securities violation that may be settled for $9M this month), we see no reason to believe VCRA's backlog figures are even accurate.

 

2. Historical trends in backlog, namely increasing backlog, provide no evidence that revenues will increase in the near future - in fact, evidence from the chart above suggests the inverse is true, as was the case in 2012 (where backlog dropped and revenues increased)

 

3. VCRA revenue growth has been essentially flat since 2012. We question if customer churn is actually higher than 20% and VCRA has simply used backlog to replace lost revenue. Increased backlog with flat revenues could also indicate stretched "payment" or "earnings" terms that are highly unfavorable to VCRA. Our skepticism is further tickled as VCRA does not disclose any key operating metrics we presume any real technology would have at its disposal (i.e. customer numbers, contract terms/lengths, etc.)

 

IX. VCRA management failed to respond to 11 key claims we previously made

 

VCRA responded to our Initial Report on April 6, 2016 (the "Response"). Vocera's management chose to ignore the crux of our original claims.

 

Vocera's Response indicated that allegations and settlements of prior lawsuits by Vocera's Chairman, Robert Zollars, are known and issues of the past - the bottom line however is that a background littered with questionable business activity is something that is hard to chew on. Fraud is fraud. The fact is that these questionable actions surround the Chairman and it doesn't matter when they happened. In our view, association with three alleged/settled frauds is a sign of an individual who cannot be trusted. The likelihood Mr. Zollars is looking out for shareholders at any point seems highly questionable given his history. Subsequent to publishing this report we will provide a detailed overview of the evidence we reviewed that alerted us to the long history of questionable conduct by Mr. Zollars.

 

A detailed review of the fundamental claims we made in our Initial Report is provided in Exhibit 2 to this report.

 

X. Conclusion, damned if they do, damned if they don't

 

In our Initial Report, we illustrated that management's character is highly questionable, that VCRA's product is not competitive (specifically the device), is unloved, and that VCRA has consistently been unable to generate profits. We set out to understand VCRA's response that their system was key to their future and after an in-depth review of their technology and the opportunity at hand, we are more convinced than ever that this company can not generate profits with its current sole product offering and this is unlikely to ever change. We see VCRA's system as a loosely-engineered mix of non-proprietary components that has little chance of being both competitive and profitable when matched against numerous new modern cloud-based products.

 

We believe VCRA's only chance of survival would have been to out-innovate all of its competitors. If it does not, shareholders are best served by VCRA shutting down operations and returning cash on hand to shareholders (still an over 60% loss to current share value). VCRA's on-premises non-proprietary product built primarily with off-the-shelf components appears obsolete - much like its badge device. However, we believe VCRA is not a real technology company. VCRA's lack of innovation highlights its technology and intellectually property that have limited competitive advantages (and as such value). To date, we have seen no commentary from management or other signs that VCRA has committed to developing a competitive cloud product to replace its on-premises product.

 

We believe management's strategy is clear now. They will continue to siphon off as much compensation (i.e. cash and stock) as they can until VCRA sales fall off a cliff. We reiterate our $4.50 near term and $0 long-term target on VCRA shares.

 

Exhibit 1 - Significant Use of Non-Proprietary Off-the-Shelf Components

 

The following is a component by component analysis we completed to determine the non-proprietary components VCRA uses in its system design. This analysis is meant to tie directly into Figure 1 to this report.

 

1. Server Software (Microsoft)

 

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Source: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6

 

2. Database Software (Microsoft MS SQL)

 

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Source

 

3. Staging Server (Vocera customer use of Dell PCs confirmed though could be any PC manufacturer)

 

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Source: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6

 

4. Badge Config Computer (Dell etc.)

 

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Sources: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6, Vocera Infrastructure Guide, page 45

 

5. Client Gateway (Dell etc.)

 

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Sources: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6, Vocera Infrastructure Guide, page 109

 

6. Report Server (Dell etc.)

 

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Sources: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6, Vocera Infrastructure Guide, page 45

 

7. Voice Server (Dell etc.)

 

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Source: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 9

 

8. Telephony Gateway (Dialogic)

 

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Sources: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6, Vocera Infrastructure Guide, page 89

 

9. Router (Cisco)

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Source: Cisco User Manual

 

10. Mobility Services Platform (Motorola)

 

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Sources: Vocera 5.x Server Sizing Matrix, page 6, Vocera Infrastructure Guide, page 109

 

11. PBX (Avaya)

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Source: Avaya Official Internal Document, Page 2

 

Exhibit 2 - Fundamental Claims in Initial Report on VCRA

 

1. VCRA Chairman was CEO or Chairman of 3 companies previously accused of fraud, 2 of which settled for a total of $709.8 million, the 3rd fraud is a possible $9 million VCRA securities fraud.

 

SkyTides: This was the first item in our report. We listed it first because we felt it was a shocking track record for a "sitting Chairman" of a public company. How is Mr. Zollars still holding onto this position at VCRA - nevermind any other company? What does this say about the Board of Directors of VCRA? Are they asleep at the wheel? Are they concerned whether or not they have the best leadership team in place at VCRA?

 

We are unsure as to why VCRA had no response to this statement. Mr. Zollars was the CEO of VCRA from June 2007 through May 2013. He has continued to stay involved with VCRA since abandoning his role as VCRA CEO. When prior business dealings of the former CEO and highest ranking employee of VCRA are brought to the forefront and the various failures and frauds he has been associated come to light - an investor should take pause and consider who they are investing in. In our view, investing in a technology company is about the people and the technology. When the credibility of one of those two, either the people or the technology, is highly questionable, we feel any long term investor should take pause and consider cutting their losses immediately and walking away from investments in questionable people.

 

2. Motorola was initially an investor, but sold its VCRA shares and is now a notable and better capitalized competitor than VCRA

 

SkyTides: We found the lack of response to our claims about Motorola quite surprising. VCRA does not mention Motorola once in its Form 10-K annual report filed on March 14, 2016. We believe Motorola is a significant competitor to VCRA. VCRA's lack of response appears to us to be an admissions that Motorola is a major competitor. We note that VCRA did not list Motorola as a competitor in the 2015 10-K. This is either an unintentional error or is an intentional misrepresentation of the competitive forces VCRA is facing every day.

 

3. VCRA has one product. Last major product launch in 2011, despite fact that 9 of 10 competitors we profiled (most of which are better capitalized) had major product launches in last 11 months

 

SkyTides: We view the lack of response to our statement as an affirmation that VCRA's last major product launch was in 2011 and 9 of its competitors, of which only 2 were disclosed in its Form 10-K annual report filed on March 14, 2016, all have had major product launches in the last 11 months. VCRA management, we wish to inform you that this is 2016. A 5 year old wireless communications device (i.e. VCRA hardware) and communications platform (i.e. VCRA software) has no place in today's competitive marketplace.

 

4. VCRA CTO has admitted 15 defects in VCRA's sole product

 

SkyTides: We see why VCRA didn't respond to this topic. It is quite clear that VCRA's product has significant defects - after all - the defects are listed on VCRA's own website.

 

5. VCRA aggregate losses total $109.8 million

 

SkyTides: These figures are clear facts.

 

6. VCRA has reported profits in 3 quarterly periods out of 16 total quarterly periods - however we allege an accounting fraud was underway during those 3 quarters

 

SkyTides: We ask VCRA's CFO to explain in detail, in accounting terms, why the actions of VCRA management as depicted by the former VCRA Senior Director of Internal Audit and Compliance, do not constitute accounting fraud.

 

7. Market's movement towards app-based solutions will force VCRA to finance customer installations or offer steep discounts in order to compete

 

SkyTides: We found the lack of response to our claims about financing installation costs or offering steep discounts to customers very interesting. We wonder if this is something VCRA is considering right now - perhaps this issue is more urgent then we expected. This turn of events could be absolutely disastrous for VCRA shareholders if each installation of VCRA's product actually does cost $300,000 or more. If VCRA has approximately $100 million in cash today, their cash could quickly decline towards $0.

 

8. VCRA's device is incapable of keeping call history for its users

 

SkyTides: The lack of a touch screen and the inability to keep a call history for its users represent two technological issues that VCRA has either not been able to solve or inexplicably has no desire to fix. Call history was available on the very first cellphones - we remember the Motorola StarTAC from 1996 had call history.

 

9. VCRA's international opportunity is all hype

 

SkyTides: Enough said. We believe we made our point. VCRA's international opportunity appears to be nothing more than an ongoing hype since 2012 that has led VCRA nowhere fast.

 

10. Mr. Zollars influence looms large, Mr. Lang's questionable claim of increased deal size

 

SkyTides: Enough said. We believe we made our point. VCRA's deal size does not appear to be increasing. In fact it may be decreasing - and it surely is decreasing or is less per customer in the international market - though VCRA does not admit this when it speaks of its international opportunity.

 

11. -5.1% combined annual growth rate 2012-2015

 

SkyTides: Enough said. We believe we made our point. VCRA's combined annual growth rate from 2012-2015 shows a decrease of 5.07% rather than an increasing growth rate that VCRA attempts to portray.

 

Exhibit 3 - Example of a Modern Healthcare Cloud Product: Salesforce

 

The Salesforce Health Cloud product was launched in February 2016. We provide a few screenshots of its functionality, user interface and user reviews below.

 

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Disclaimer: 

 

 

WE BASE OUR ANALYSES HEREIN ON OUR OWN RESEARCH AND PUBLICALLY AVAILABLE DOCUMENTS. WE ARE NOT GIVING YOU INVESTMENT ADVICE. IF YOU CHOOSE TO MAKE AN INVESTMENT IN VCRA OR ANY OTHER COMPANY, YOU DO SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.  IF YOU INVEST YOUR MONEY YOU MAY LOSE ALL OF IT. NOBODY HAS A CRYSTAL BALL, AND NEITHER DO WE. INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK.

 

We are short shares of VCRA and are long VCRA puts.  We may add to our short position at any time.  All information included within this report is sourced from publicly available materials. As of the publication of this report we have not communicated with management of VCRA.

 

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